Saturday, November 6, 2010

Two-bar Breakout System (2BB)

The 2 bar breakout system is designed to capture short term trends by going long or short depending on the pattern formed by the 2 most recent price bars.  The essence of this method is to look for reversal of the immediate directional momentum.

The rules of this method are:

Long trades

Enter:
  1. Today’s low is less than the previous day low
  2. Today’s high is less than the previous day high
  3. Today’s close is less than the open
  4. Go long at the next trading bar if the price goes above today’s high + 1 tick
Exit:
  1. Use a trailing stop at previous day’s low
  
Short trades

Enter:
  1. Today’s low is greater than the previous day low
  2. Today’s high is greater than the previous day high
  3. Today’s close is greater than the open
  4. Go short at the next trading bar if the price goes below today’s low - 1 tick
Exit:
  1. Use a trailing stop at previous day’s high

To see this method in action, let’s try it out on EURUSD currency pair. 

For long trades, the trading record is as such:

Position
Entry Date
Entry Price
Exit Date
Exit Price
Bars Held
Profit/Loss (pips)
Long
5/7/2009
1.3374
5/11/2009
1.3615
3
241
Long
5/18/2009
1.3486
5/25/2009
1.4016
6
530
Long
6/23/2009
1.3936
6/29/2009
1.4044
5
108
Long
7/9/2009
1.3938
7/13/2009
1.3941
3
3
Long
8/18/2009
1.4171
8/24/2009
1.4329
5
158
Long
8/27/2009
1.4349
8/31/2009
1.4281
3
-68
Long
9/30/2009
1.4646
10/1/2009
1.4574
1
-72
Long
10/8/2009
1.4737
10/9/2009
1.4703
1
-34
Long
10/29/2009
1.4841
11/1/2009
1.471
2
-131
Long
11/2/2009
1.4742
11/3/2009
1.4702
1
-40
Long
11/4/2009
1.4811
11/9/2009
1.486
4
49
Long
12/23/2009
1.4332
12/28/2009
1.4356
3
24
Long
12/31/2009
1.4361
1/4/2010
1.4315
2
-46
Long
1/13/2010
1.4546
1/14/2010
1.4454
1
-92
Long
1/22/2010
1.4144
1/25/2010
1.4147
2
3
Long
2/26/2010
1.3571
3/1/2010
1.3614
2
43
Long
3/10/2010
1.3636
3/15/2010
1.3758
4
122
Long
3/16/2010
1.3774
3/18/2010
1.3724
2
-50
Long
3/26/2010
1.3388
3/29/2010
1.3434
2
46
Long
5/27/2010
1.2345
5/30/2010
1.2267
2
-78
Long
6/7/2010
1.1966
6/17/2010
1.2252
9
286
Long
6/30/2010
1.2291
7/5/2010
1.2542
4
251
Long
7/6/2010
1.2558
7/9/2010
1.2623
3
65
Long
7/13/2010
1.2646
7/19/2010
1.2888
5
242
Long
7/22/2010
1.2914
8/4/2010
1.3145
11
231
Long
10/5/2010
1.3785
10/8/2010
1.3855
3
70
Long
10/28/2010
1.3879
11/1/2010
1.3955
3
76











Total

1937


The method generated 27 long signals with 18 profitable trades giving a total return of 1937 pips.    

No comments:

STI Sideway To Bearish Tone

US market had a bad closing last night.  Dow plunged by 243 points.  It seems like we are seeing more volatility recently.  With earnings...