Sunday, September 28, 2008

US Market

Market players are waiting to see whether US officials will be able to come to an agreement to the bailout package. The market has been plagued by high volatility lately.



The VIX closed at 34.73 on Friday. It spiked to a high of 42.16 on 18 Sep. Assuming that you buy into the Dow Industrial Average when the VIX went above 40 and hold the trade for approximately 1 year, the trading result is as follows:

Entry DateEntry LevelExit DateExit Level% Change
1-Sep-987583.097-Sep-9911079.0846.1
4-Sep-987737.3210-Sep-9911087.0043.29
8-Sep-987964.9113-Sep-9911027.4038.45
11-Sep-987583.6116-Sep-9910795.7742.36
14-Sep-987936.0817-Sep-9910745.3835.4
1-Oct-987749.426-Oct-9910399.7734.2
2-Oct-987631.507-Oct-9910588.3438.74
5-Oct-987760.758-Oct-9910534.5235.74
6-Oct-987733.9711-Oct-9910649.7637.7
7-Oct-987754.8212-Oct-9910648.8137.32
8-Oct-987734.4813-Oct-9910412.3134.62
9-Oct-987806.5714-Oct-9910230.8931.05
12-Oct-988038.0315-Oct-9910286.6127.97
13-Oct-987982.6818-Oct-9910018.4525.5
14-Oct-987925.0119-Oct-9910117.5427.67
18-Sep-018922.7023-Sep-027984.77-10.51
20-Sep-018375.7225-Sep-027687.16-8.22
21-Sep-018356.5626-Sep-027844.62-6.13
24-Sep-018242.3227-Sep-027996.01-2.99
23-Jul-027785.5528-Jul-039284.9219.26
24-Jul-027698.4629-Jul-039268.1920.39
5-Aug-028312.928-Aug-039127.369.8
6-Aug-028049.9311-Aug-039189.6214.16
7-Aug-028282.2512-Aug-039218.1211.3
20-Sep-027945.9325-Sep-039425.5818.62
25-Sep-027687.1630-Sep-039378.1022
8-Oct-027425.8213-Oct-039675.7230.3
9-Oct-027499.9614-Oct-039763.2730.18
10-Oct-027286.3415-Oct-039824.0934.83
19-Sep-0811027.51OpenOpen1.05

You have a total of 30 trades with 26 ending with a profit.

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